کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
1053875 | 946731 | 2011 | 11 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
![عکس صفحه اول مقاله: A qualitative method for the spatial and thematic downscaling of land-use change scenarios A qualitative method for the spatial and thematic downscaling of land-use change scenarios](/preview/png/1053875.png)
Assessing the potential impact of future land-cover changes on habitat quality requires projections with a fine spatial and thematic resolution. The former is usually addressed by downscaling methods, often at the expense of the latter. We present a new, rule-based method to downscale land-use change scenarios to the landscape level while keeping a large number of land-cover classes (CORINE level 3). The method relies on the interpretation of European scenario storylines, the observation of past land-use changes, high-resolution regional data and expert knowledge.The results give a landscape-level transposition of the scenario storylines which reflects the local conditions. The method has a number of advantages, such as its potential application in dialogues with policy-makers and stakeholders. Possible further developments include automating the rule-based selection to overcome the current limitations of this method in terms of spatial extent.
Journal: Environmental Science & Policy - Volume 14, Issue 3, May 2011, Pages 268–278