کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
1147596 957772 2012 9 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Structural changes and unit roots in non-stationary time series
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه ریاضیات ریاضیات کاربردی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Structural changes and unit roots in non-stationary time series
چکیده انگلیسی
The problem of testing hypotheses of a unit root and a structural change in one-dimensional time series is considered. A non-parametric two-step method for solution of the problem is proposed. The method is based upon the modified Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic. At the first step of this method the hypothesis of stationarity of an obtained sample is tested against a unified alternative of a statistical non-stationarity of a time series (a unit root or a structural change). At the second step of the proposed method, in case of rejecting the stationarity hypothesis at the first step, the hypothesis of an unknown structural change is tested against the alternative of a unit root. We prove that probabilities of errors (false classification of hypotheses) of the proposed method converge to zero as the sample size tends to infinity.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference - Volume 142, Issue 1, January 2012, Pages 327-335
نویسندگان
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