کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
1151112 1489828 2013 21 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Bayesian predictive inference of a finite population proportion under selection bias
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه ریاضیات آمار و احتمال
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Bayesian predictive inference of a finite population proportion under selection bias
چکیده انگلیسی

We show how to infer about a finite population proportion using data from a possibly biased sample. In the absence of any selection bias or survey weights, a simple ignorable selection model, which assumes that the binary responses are independent and identically distributed Bernoulli random variables, is not unreasonable. However, this ignorable selection model is inappropriate when there is a selection bias in the sample. We assume that the survey weights (or their reciprocals which we call ‘selection’ probabilities) are available, but there is no simple relation between the binary responses and the selection probabilities. To capture the selection bias, we assume that there is some correlation between the binary responses and the selection probabilities (e.g., there may be a somewhat higher/lower proportion of positive responses among the sampled units than among the nonsampled units). We use a Bayesian nonignorable selection model to accommodate the selection mechanism. We use Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to fit the nonignorable selection model. We illustrate our method using numerical examples obtained from NHIS 1995 data.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Statistical Methodology - Volume 11, March 2013, Pages 1–21
نویسندگان
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