کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
1160899 | 1490337 | 2014 | 8 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Some surprising facts about (the problem of) surprising facts
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
برخی از حقایق شگفت انگیز در مورد (پرونده) حقایق شگفت آور
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موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
علوم انسانی و هنر
تاریخ
چکیده انگلیسی
A common intuition about evidence is that if data x have been used to construct a hypothesis H, then x should not be used again in support of H. It is no surprise that x fits H, if H was deliberately constructed to accord with x. The question of when and why we should avoid such “double-counting” continues to be debated in philosophy and statistics. It arises as a prohibition against data mining, hunting for significance, tuning on the signal, and ad hoc hypotheses, and as a preference for predesignated hypotheses and “surprising” predictions. I have argued that it is the severity or probativeness of the test-or lack of it-that should determine whether a double-use of data is admissible. I examine a number of surprising ambiguities and unexpected facts that continue to bedevil this debate.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A - Volume 45, March 2014, Pages 79-86
Journal: Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A - Volume 45, March 2014, Pages 79-86
نویسندگان
D. Mayo,