What are the right policies for electricity supply in Middle East? A regional dynamic integrated electricity model for the province of Yazd in Iran

Energy planning techniques are essential tools in the management of new complex energy systems. Among different techniques, System Dynamics is an appropriate technique for the simulation of complex energy systems and the analysis of their dynamism. In this paper, a regional dynamic integrated electricity model (RDIEM) is developed for a regulated electricity supply system in order to analyze the results of different scenarios and policies and find the right policies for the electricity generation. The results of model are validated with a real case in the province of Yazd in Iran. The results show that the balanced growth and the environment-oriented policies have the best results among different policies. Although the application is related to the Iranian case, the implications are much wider, especially in the Middle East.