Prospective evaluation of the use of the thrombolysis in myocardial infarction score as a risk stratification tool for chest pain patients admitted to an ED observation unit

BackgroundThe Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) score has shown use in predicting 30-day and 1-year outcomes in emergency department (ED) patients with potential acute coronary syndrome. Few studies have evaluated the TIMI score in risk stratifying patients selected for the ED observation Unit (EDOU). Risk stratification of patients in this group could identify those at risk for significant cardiac events. Our goal was to evaluate TIMI use for risk stratification in this population and compare outcomes among differing scores.MethodsA prospective observational study with 30-day telephone follow-up for a 12 month period. Baseline data, outcomes related to EDOU stay, admission, and 30-day outcomes were recorded. TIMI scores were calculated for each patient placed in EDOU. TIMI score was not utilized in the decision to place patients in observation.ResultsN = 552. Composite outcomes recorded were myocardial infarction, revascularization, or death either during the EDOU stay, inpatient admission, or the 30-day follow-up. Eighteen composite outcomes were recorded: stent (12 patients), coronary artery bypass graft (3 patients), myocardial infarction and stent (2 patients), and myocardial infarction, and coronary artery bypass graft (1 patient). Distribution by TIMI score was: 0 (102 patients), 1 (196), 2 (142), 3 (72), 4 (27), and 5 (5). Risk of composite outcome increased by score: 0 (1%), 1 (2.6%), 2 (2.1%), 3 (6.9%), 4 (11.1%), and 5 (20%). Those with an intermediate risk score (3-5) were also more likely to require admission (15.4% vs 9.8%, P = .048).ConclusionThe TIMI risk score may serve as an effective risk stratification tool among chest pain patients selected for EDOU placement. Patients with intermediate-risk by TIMI may be considered for inpatient admission and/or more aggressive evaluation and therapy.