Time-dependent effect of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma grade on disease-free survival of relapsed/refractory patients treated with high-dose chemotherapy plus autotransplantation

Evaluation of time to event outcomes usually is examined by the Kaplan–Meier method and Cox proportional hazards models. We developed a modified statistical model based on histologic grade and other variables to describe the time-dependent outcome for autologous stem cell transplant (autotransplant) performed for non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) based on histologic grade and other variables. One hundred and fourteen relapsed or refractory NHL patients were treated using BCNU 600 mg/m2, etoposide 2400 mg/m2, and cisplatin 200 mg/m2 IV followed by autotransplant. Median age was 53.5 (range: 25–70) years, 78 patients had aggressive NHL and 36 indolent NHL. Seventy-five patients received involved-field radiotherapy just prior to transplant. At a median follow-up of 33 (range: 3 to 118) months, the estimated 5-year Kaplan–Meier probabilities of overall survival and disease-free survival were 61% and 51%, respectively. Cox proportional hazards model analysis showed that proportionality did not hold for lymphoma grade, indicating that the relationship between the grade and disease-free survival differed over time. By piece-wise Cox model, the relative risk for experiencing relapse or death after 1 year in patients with indolent compared with patients with aggressive NHL was 2.81 (p = 0.019) with 95% confidence interval (1.19, 6.65). The time-dependent effect of lymphoma grade on disease-free survival suggests the need for early (within first year) incorporation of novel therapeutic approaches in management of patients with indolent NHL undergoing autotransplant.