Estimation of wind farms aggregated power output distributions

In this contribution we present an approach to the estimation of aggregated power output distribution from wind farms, with a focus on the alternative simulating model of correlated wind speeds and kernel estimators which overcomes some disadvantages of related ones. The case study shows the application of the approach under assumptions concerning relationships between wind speeds at different generation sites.

► A contribution to estimate wind farm aggregated power output distributions is presented.
► The consideration of independence of wind speed at different locations is avoided.
► Correlation between wind speeds at different locations is taken into account.
► Kernel estimators are used.
► The case study includes results under different assumptions with regards to correlation.