کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
417567 | 681534 | 2012 | 13 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Long memory and nonlinearities in realized volatility: A Markov switching approach
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
مهندسی کامپیوتر
نظریه محاسباتی و ریاضیات
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
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چکیده انگلیسی
Realized volatility is studied using nonlinear and highly persistent dynamics. In particular, a model is proposed that simultaneously captures long memory and nonlinearities in which level and persistence shift through a Markov switching dynamics. Inference is based on an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm that is used to estimate parameters, latent process and predictive densities. The in-sample results show that both long memory and nonlinearities are significant and improve the description of the data. The out-sample results at several forecast horizons show that introducing these nonlinearities produces superior forecasts over those obtained using nested models.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Computational Statistics & Data Analysis - Volume 56, Issue 11, November 2012, Pages 3730–3742
Journal: Computational Statistics & Data Analysis - Volume 56, Issue 11, November 2012, Pages 3730–3742
نویسندگان
Davide Raggi, Silvano Bordignon,