Linking spatiotemporal disturbance history with tree regeneration and diversity in an old-growth forest in northern Japan

• The impact of disturbances on tree recruitment and diversity was studied.
• We used novel combination of spatial and temporal aspects of disturbance events.
• Higher density and diversity were found in small gaps and un-disturbed forest.
• Large gaps became overgrown by bamboo in place of tree recruitment.
• Increasing typhoon intensity can affect an ecosystem’s structure and diversity.

Knowledge of long-term spatiotemporal effects of disturbances on forest structure, tree regeneration and species composition is key for understanding forest dynamics and predicting future forest responses to climate change. Here, we explore the spatiotemporal impact of disturbances of different severities on tree recruitment and diversity in species-rich oak-fir-maple forest in Hokkaido, a typhoon-prone area in northern Japan, over the past 230 years. The forest disturbance history was reconstructed by growth-release analysis from more than 45,500 tree rings of 385 trees belonging to 15 species. A mixed severity disturbance regime was prevalent over the study period. Altogether, 310 major and 293 moderate growth releases were identified. These were both temporally and spatially localized, with 80% of events detected in only four time periods: 1775–1784, 1815–1839, 1880–1909 and 1950–1979. Disturbances were followed by major recruitment pulses, each lasting around 30 years. Dendrochronological reconstructions alone indicate that severe (i.e. high proportion of releases), infrequent disturbances control tree regeneration and forest development (from oak-dominated forests to mixed-stand with higher proportion of shade-tolerant tree species). However, a combination of temporal and spatial pattern analysis revealed that less severe disturbances, creating small gaps, promote higher density and diversity of recruitment (altogether 19 tree species recorded) compared with severe disturbances. The latter create large forest gaps which became overgrown by dwarf bamboo and suppress tree regeneration. These results provide evidence that severe disturbances interacting with a strong biotic understory filter (as dwarf bamboo), can disrupt forest ecosystem dynamics by significantly reducing the extent and diversity of tree recruitment. Our findings are important as most climate models predict an elevated intensity of typhoons in Northeast Asia. We conclude that a combination of temporal and spatial analyses, as presented here, is necessary to disentangle the complex drivers of long-term forest dynamics.

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