کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
4498366 1318978 2008 9 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Saturation recovery leads to multiple endemic equilibria and backward bifurcation
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک (عمومی)
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Saturation recovery leads to multiple endemic equilibria and backward bifurcation
چکیده انگلیسی

The number of patients need to be treated may exceed the carry capacity of local hospitals during the spreading of a severe infectious disease. We propose an epidemic model with saturation recovery from infective individuals to understand the effect of limited resources for treatment of infectives on the emergency disease control. It is shown that saturation recovery from infective individuals leads to vital dynamics, such as bistability and periodicity, when the basic reproduction number R0R0 is less than unity. An interesting dynamical behavior of the model is a backward bifurcation which raises many new challenges to effective infection control.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Theoretical Biology - Volume 254, Issue 2, 21 September 2008, Pages 275–283
نویسندگان
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