کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
475059 699200 2015 15 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Risk management policies for dynamic capacity control
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
سیاست های مدیریت ریسک برای کنترل ظرفیت پویا
کلمات کلیدی
تصمیمات پویا، کنترل ظرفیت، مدیریت درآمد، خطر
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی کامپیوتر علوم کامپیوتر (عمومی)
چکیده انگلیسی

Consider a dynamic decision making model under risk with a fixed planning horizon, namely the dynamic capacity control model. The model describes a firm, operating in a monopolistic setting and selling a range of products consuming a single resource. Demand for each product is time-dependent and modeled by a random variable. The firm controls the revenue stream by allowing or denying customer requests for product classes. We investigate risk-sensitive policies in this setting, for which risk concerns are important for many non-repetitive events and short-time considerations.Numerically analysing several risk-averse capacity control policies in terms of standard deviation and conditional-value-at-risk, our results show that only a slight modification of the risk-neutral solution is needed to apply a risk-averse policy. In particular, risk-averse policies which decision rules are functions depending only on the marginal values of the risk-neutral policy perform well. From a practical perspective, the advantage is that a decision maker does not need to compute any risk-averse dynamic program. Risk sensitivity can be easily achieved by implementing risk-averse functional decision rules based on a risk-neutral solution.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Computers & Operations Research - Volume 59, July 2015, Pages 104–118
نویسندگان
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