کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
482651 | 1446216 | 2006 | 14 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
This paper discusses different ways of combining neural predictive models or neural-based forecasts. The proposed approaches consider Gaussian radial basis function networks, which can be efficiently identified and estimated through recursive/adaptive methods. The usual framework for linearly combining estimates from different models is extended, to cope with the case where the forecasting errors from those models are correlated. A prefiltering methodology is proposed, addressing the problems raised by heavily nonstationary time series. Moreover, the paper discusses two approaches for decision-making from forecasting models: either inferring decisions from combined predictive estimates, or combining prescriptive solutions derived from different forecasting models.
Journal: European Journal of Operational Research - Volume 173, Issue 3, 16 September 2006, Pages 801–814