A Naïve SVM-KNN based stock market trend reversal analysis for Indian benchmark indices

This paper proposes a hybridized framework of Support Vector Machine (SVM) with K-Nearest Neighbor approach for Indian stock market indices prediction. The objective of this paper is to get in-depth knowledge in the stock market in Indian Scenario with the two indices such as, Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE Sensex) and CNX Nifty using technical analysis methods and tools such as predicting closing price, volatility and momentum of the stock market for the available data. This hybrid model uses SVM with different kernel functions to predict profit or loss, and the output of SVM helps to compute best nearest neighbor from the training set to predict future of stock value in the horizon of 1 day, 1 week and 1 month. The proposed SVM and KNN based prediction model is experienced with the above mentioned distinguished stock market indices and the performance of proposed model has been computed using Mean Squared Error and also been compared with recent developed models such as FLIT2NS and CEFLANN respectively. The limitation of both of those existing models undergoes complex weight updating procedures, whereas, proposed SVM-KNN hybridized model scales relatively well to high dimensional data and the trade-off between classifier complexity and error can be controlled explicitly and have better prediction capability.

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