Intuitive proportion judgment in number-line estimation: Converging evidence from multiple tasks

- A comprehensive evaluation of estimation patterns on two number-line tasks.
- Findings are consistent with the predictions of the proportion estimation account.
- Results call into question the use of number-line tasks to evaluate mental representations.

How children's understanding of numerical magnitudes changes over the course of development remains a key question in the study of numerical cognition. In an ongoing debate about the source of developmental change, some argue that children maintain and access different mental representations of number, with evidence coming largely from common number-line estimation tasks. In contrast, others argue that a theoretical framework based on psychophysical models of proportion estimation accounts for typical performance on these tasks. The current study explored children's (n = 71) and adults' (n = 27) performance on two number-line tasks: the “number to position” (or NP) task and the inverse “position to number” (or PN) task. Estimates on both tasks are consistent with the predictions of the proportion estimation account and do not support the hypothesis that a fundamental shift in mental representations underlies developmental change in numerical estimation and, in turn, mathematical ability. Converging evidence across the tasks also calls into question the utility of bounded number-line tasks as an evaluation of mental representations of number.