کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5047350 1476271 2014 10 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A new assessment of the Chinese RMB exchange rate
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
A new assessment of the Chinese RMB exchange rate
چکیده انگلیسی


- The ratio, Penn effect and behavioral equilibrium exchange rate models are used.
- The statistical indexes and economic meaning are used to generate a better result.
- RMB is proven to be overvalued by about 10-20% in 2011-2012.
- Policy suggestions are provided for the already overvalued currency.

The ratio, Penn effect and behavioral equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) are used to assess the level of the bilateral real exchange rate of the Chinese RMB against the US dollar in 1980-2012. The statistical indexes and economic meaning indicate that the findings from the BEER and ratio models are more reasonable. Based on the two models, the RMB was overvalued by about 10-20% in 2011-2012. Given the already overvalued currency and the not-ideal economic situation, China should (1) control its excessive money supply to suppress the purchasing power parity rate appreciation and (2) keep the level of the nominal exchange rate stable.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: China Economic Review - Volume 30, September 2014, Pages 113-122
نویسندگان
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