کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5052740 1476487 2015 10 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Decomposition analysis to examine Australia's 2030 GHGs emissions target: How hard will it be to achieve?
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Decomposition analysis to examine Australia's 2030 GHGs emissions target: How hard will it be to achieve?
چکیده انگلیسی

The Australian government has recently pledged a reduction in GHGs emissions of 26-28% below the 2005 level by 2030. How big is the challenge for the country to achieve this target in terms of its present emissions profile, recent historical trends, and the contributions to those trends from key proximate factors contributing to emissions? In this paper, we attempt a quantitative judgement of the challenge by using decomposition analysis. Based on the analysis it appears the announced target will be quite challenging to achieve if the average annual mitigating effects from economic restructuring, energy efficiency improvements and movement towards less emissions-intensive energy sources in evidence over 2002-2013 continued through to 2030; however, if the contribution from these mitigating sources in evidence over 2006-2013 can be sustained, achievement of the target will be much less challenging. The challenge for government then will be to provide a policy framework to ensure the more pronounced beneficial impacts of the mitigating factors evidenced during 2006-2013 can be maintained over the years to 2030.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Economic Analysis and Policy - Volume 48, December 2015, Pages 25-34
نویسندگان
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