کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5065332 1372311 2012 8 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Economic analysis of a low carbon path to 2050: A case for China, India and Japan
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی انرژی انرژی (عمومی)
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Economic analysis of a low carbon path to 2050: A case for China, India and Japan
چکیده انگلیسی

This article studies the economic implications that different global GHG emission mitigation policies may have in the major Asian economies, namely, China, India, and Japan. The analysis covers the period 2010-2050 and is performed by means of a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium model (GEM-E3). Four scenarios are investigated: the three standard AME scenarios, and a fourth scenario with a GHG emission reduction path compatible with the 2 °C target, reducing global GHG emissions in 2050 by 50%, relative to 2005. The scenarios are compared with the already adopted and announced policies of the respective countries, in the context of the Copenhagen pledges for 2020 and their long-term objectives in 2050. We further discuss the role of energy efficiency measures and zero-carbon power technologies in order to reach the long-term 2 °C target. We find that postponing significant emission reductions may not accrue an economic benefit over time whereas it may increase some risks by possibly overstretching the reliance on zero-carbon technologies.

► Postponing GHG reductions may not accrue economic benefits over time. ► Postponing GHG reductions may overstretch the reliance on zero-carbon technologies. ► Carbon value, zero-carbon technologies and energy efficiency reduce GHG emissions.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Energy Economics - Volume 34, Supplement 3, December 2012, Pages S451-S458
نویسندگان
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