A new model to evaluate the dynamic adaptation of an electric distribution system

The main objective of this paper is to present a model developed to evaluate the Dynamic Adaptation of an Electric Energy Distribution System respecting its planning for a given period of Tariff Control. The model is based on a two-stage strategy that deals with the mid/short-term and long term planning, respectively. The starting point for modeling is brought about by the results from a multi-attribute method based on Fuzzy Dynamic Programming and on Analytic Hierarchy Processes for a mid/short-term horizon. Such a method produces a set of possible evolution trajectories which can be defined as satisfactory when they evolve above a given risk threshold that the planner is willing to accept. Then, the decision-making activities within the framework of the Analytic Hierarchy Processes are those tasks that allow defining a Vector for Dynamic Adaptation of the System, which is directly associated to an eventual series of imbalances that take place during its evolution.