کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5084524 1477906 2016 7 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A generalized probability framework to model economic agents' decisions under uncertainty
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
چارچوب احتمالی تعمیم یافته برای تصمیم گیری عوامل تصمیم گیرنده اقتصادی تحت عدم قطعیت
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
چکیده انگلیسی
The applications of techniques from statistical (and classical) mechanics to model interesting problems in economics and finance have produced valuable results. The principal movement which has steered this research direction is known under the name of 'econophysics'. In this paper, we illustrate and advance some of the findings that have been obtained by applying the mathematical formalism of quantum mechanics to model human decision making under 'uncertainty' in behavioral economics and finance. Starting from Ellsberg's seminal article, decision making situations have been experimentally verified where the application of Kolmogorovian probability in the formulation of expected utility is problematic. Those probability measures which by necessity must situate themselves in Hilbert space (such as 'quantum probability') enable a faithful representation of experimental data. We thus provide an explanation for the effectiveness of the mathematical framework of quantum mechanics in the modeling of human decision making. We want to be explicit though that we are not claiming that decision making has microscopic quantum mechanical features.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: International Review of Financial Analysis - Volume 47, October 2016, Pages 297-303
نویسندگان
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