کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5105663 | 1481250 | 2017 | 12 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Will recent boom in coal power lead to a bust in China? A micro-economic analysis
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
آیا رونق اخیر در قدرت ذغالسنگی موجب سقوط در چین خواهد شد؟ تجزیه و تحلیل میکرو اقتصادی
دانلود مقاله + سفارش ترجمه
دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی
رایگان برای ایرانیان
کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
مهندسی انرژی
مهندسی انرژی و فناوری های برق
چکیده انگلیسی
In this paper, by adopting the levelized cost of electricity model and the financial appraisal method, we provide an economic interpretation for China's recent coal power bubble under weak demand growth. The study surveys the economics of a typical 600Â MW newly-built pure condensing coal-fired power plant in six case provinces (Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, Hebei, Jiangsu and Guangdong), where the profitability margins of coal power are above national average by the end of 2015. Results indicate that the continuous falling in coal prices have lowered the generation costs but there has been insufficient adjustment to the benchmark on-grid tariff, enabling coal power to obtain unprecedented excess profits. Such excess profits have spurred the investment and caused local government to over-rely on coal power under economic downturn. However, in the context of cost escalation by deteriorated operation efficiency, higher environmental and climate change compliance costs and fierce market competition, the profitability of coal power will dissipate soon. Integrated power capacity plan consistent with the new economic normal, stringent control on the scale of new coal power projects and deep power market reform are the key policy implications of our analysis.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Energy Policy - Volume 108, September 2017, Pages 645-656
Journal: Energy Policy - Volume 108, September 2017, Pages 645-656
نویسندگان
Jiahai Yuan, Yang Wang, Weirong Zhang, Changhong Zhao, Qian Liu, Xinyi Shen, Kai Zhang, Liansai Dong,