کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5106835 1481654 2017 11 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Forecasting peak-day consumption for year-ahead management of natural gas networks
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
پیش بینی مصرف روزانه پیک روز برای مدیریت سالانه شبکه های گاز طبیعی
کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی انرژی انرژی (عمومی)
چکیده انگلیسی
Security of supply is at the forefront of energy policy in the EU and elsewhere. This paper develops a methodology to forecast peak-day gas consumption for the consideration of gas transmission system operators. It is developed for the domestic and small-to-medium enterprise (SME) gas market, based on a review of current practice. From this assessment, a climate-adjusted network degree day (NDDCA) variable is developed to estimate the weather-dependent gas consumption of such markets. We show that solar radiation significantly affects gas consumption and should be considered in consumption models. The study also quantifies the difference in capacity required under alternative gas supply standards.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Utilities Policy - Volume 44, February 2017, Pages 1-11
نویسندگان
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