کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5108722 | 1482625 | 2017 | 9 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Using ski industry response to climatic variability to assess climate change risk: An analogue study in Eastern Canada
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
با استفاده از پاسخ صنعت اسکی به تغییرات اقلیمی برای ارزیابی تغییرات آب و هوایی: یک مطالعه آنالوگ در شرق کانادا
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کلمات کلیدی
تغییر آب و هوا، اسکی گردشگری، انطباق، آسیب پذیری، آنالوگ، کانادا،
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
مدیریت، کسب و کار و حسابداری
استراتژی و مدیریت استراتژیک
چکیده انگلیسی
To accurately characterize the ski industry's risk to future climate change and varied quality of snow conditions, it is important to assess how the industry has managed and adapted to contemporary anomalously warm ski seasons. This is the first temporal climate change analogue study to use higher resolution daily performance data at the individual ski area scale, including reported snow quality, ski lift operations, slope openings, and water usage for snowmaking. The record warm winter of 2011-2012 in the Ontario ski tourism market (Eastern Canada) is representative of projected future average winter conditions under a mid-century, high greenhouse gas emissions scenario (RCP 8.5), which was compared to the 2010-2011 season which was climatically normal (for the 1981-2010 period). Supply-side impacts across the 17 ski areas during the analogue winter included a total average decrease in the ski season length (â17% days), operating ski lifts (â3%), skiable terrain (â9%), reduced snow quality (e.g., -46% days with packed powder), snowmaking days (â18%), and an increase in water usage for snowmaking (e.g., +300% in December). Demand-side impacts include a 10% decrease in overall skier visits, with a resort size-correlation (small â20%, intermediate â14%, large â8%). With reduced operational ski terrain and more frequent marginal snow conditions, visitor experience is adversely affected more frequently. Collectively, these findings identify differential impacts in the ski tourism market and can assist ski area managers, communities, investors and governments with developing climate change adaptation plans.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Tourism Management - Volume 58, February 2017, Pages 196-204
Journal: Tourism Management - Volume 58, February 2017, Pages 196-204
نویسندگان
Michelle Rutty, Daniel Scott, Peter Johnson, Marc Pons, Robert Steiger, Marc Vilella,