کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
552326 873205 2011 11 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Municipal credit rating modelling by neural networks
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی کامپیوتر سیستم های اطلاعاتی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Municipal credit rating modelling by neural networks
چکیده انگلیسی

The paper presents the modelling possibilities of neural networks on a complex real-world problem, i.e. municipal credit rating modelling. First, current approaches in credit rating modelling are introduced. Second, previous studies on municipal credit rating modelling are analyzed. Based on this analysis, the model is designed to classify US municipalities (located in the State of Connecticut) into rating classes. The model includes data pre-processing, the selection process of input variables, and the design of various neural networks' structures for classification. The selection of input variables is realized using genetic algorithms. The input variables are extracted from financial statements and statistical reports in line with previous studies. These variables represent the inputs of neural networks, while the rating classes from Moody's rating agency stand for the outputs. In addition to exact rating classes, data are also labelled by four basic rating classes. As a result, the classification accuracies and the contributions of input variables are studied for the different number of classes. The results show that the rating classes assigned to bond issuers can be classified with a high accuracy rate using a limited subset of input variables.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Decision Support Systems - Volume 51, Issue 1, April 2011, Pages 108–118
نویسندگان
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