کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
552699 | 873255 | 2013 | 10 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
Information aggregation mechanisms are designed explicitly for collecting and aggregating dispersed information. An excellent example of the use of this “wisdom of crowds” is a prediction market. The purpose of our social network-embedded prediction market is to suggest that carefully designed market mechanisms can elicit and gather dispersed information that can improve our predictions. Simulation results show that our network-embedded prediction market can produce better predictions as a result of the information exchange in social networks and can outperform other non-networked prediction markets. It is shown that forecasting errors decrease with the cost of acquiring information in a network-embedded prediction market. We also develop an information system that combines the power of prediction markets with the popularity of Twitter.
Journal: Decision Support Systems - Volume 55, Issue 4, November 2013, Pages 978–987