Reservoir volume of gas hydrate stability zones in permafrost regions of China

Gas hydrate is a promising energy resource. Permafrost regions in China are natural gas hydrate prospects. In this study, we summarized the conditions for gas hydrate formation, and analyzed the probable thickness and area of gas hydrate stability zones in the permafrost regions in China. Then the probability of porosity within the gas hydrate stability zones was estimated from lithology, burial history, and compaction curves. Finally, the total reservoir volume for gas hydrate stability zones in permafrost regions was estimated from the joint probability distribution of the effective thickness, area, and porosity. The probable total reservoir volume of the gas hydrate stability zones in the permafrosts in China is in the range of 2.995 × 1012 m3 to 5.081 × 1012 m3, with the best estimate at 4.002 × 1012 m3. The Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau including Qilian (where the occurrence of natural gas hydrate has been proven by coring) has about 55% of the total reservoir volume of the gas hydrate stability zones in China, indicating it has a great resource potential. In the Mohe Basin the reservoir volume of the gas hydrate stability zone ranges from 0.49 × 1012 m3 to 0.79 × 1012 m3, suggesting it is a hopeful future resource exploration area. The best estimate of the total reservoir volume of the gas hydrate stability zones in Northwest China is 1.2 × 1012 m3 which is considerable. However, occurrence of gas hydrate is yet to be confirmed by future exploration. These estimates provide much needed data for further gas hydrate resource exploration and evaluation, as well as environmental protection.