Impact assessment of global and national biofuels developments on agriculture in Pakistan

► Three scenarios of increased biofuels use are modeled using GTAP model. ► Impact on prices, production, and trade of agricultural commodities for Pakistan are presented. ► Expansion in biofuels will increase prices of most of agricultural commodities in Pakistan. ► Production of feedstock crops (especially sugarcane) will increase considerably. ► Overall trade balance for agricultural commodities will worsen due to Pakistan's biofuels program.