کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
6694214 501918 2013 13 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Modelling and forecasting fossil fuels, CO2 and electricity prices and their volatilities
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی انرژی مهندسی انرژی و فناوری های برق
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Modelling and forecasting fossil fuels, CO2 and electricity prices and their volatilities
چکیده انگلیسی
► A proposal of a joint modelling of fossil fuel, CO2 and electricity prices is presented in this work. ► Comparison of several univariate and multivariate models in terms of prediction accuracy for these series. ► Conditionally heteroskedastic dynamic factor model for extracting common features in the multivariate volatility. ► Common volatility factors extracted allows to enhance forecasting intervals and have an economical interpretation. ► Starting point for risk management or portfolio optimization under uncertainty in the current context of energy markets.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Applied Energy - Volume 101, January 2013, Pages 363-375
نویسندگان
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