کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
6764989 1431585 2018 15 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Innovative trend analysis of solar radiation in China during 1962-2015
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
تجزیه و تحلیل روند نوآورانه تابش خورشیدی در چین طی سال های 1962-2015
کلمات کلیدی
تابش خورشیدی، تجزیه و تحلیل روند نوآورانه، من کنده، چین،
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی انرژی انرژی های تجدید پذیر، توسعه پایدار و محیط زیست
چکیده انگلیسی
An innovative trend analysis (ITA) with significant test was proposed for detecting the annual and seasonal variation trends of solar radiation at 48 stations in five different climatic zones across China during 1962-2015. The solar radiation generally showed a significant decreasing trend (p < .05 or p < .01) at most stations, however, some stations exhibited significant increasing trends (p < .05 or p < .01) in eastern part of temperate monsoon climatic zone, western part of subtropical monsoon climatic zone and tropical monsoon climatic zone using ITA. The ITA method was compared with two traditional trend analysis methods, i.e., linear regression analysis (LRA) and Mann-Kendall (M-K) test. The results indicated almost all significant trends (P < .05 or P < .01) that can be detected by LRA or M-K test (117 time series) can be effectively identified using ITA (116 time series). Meanwhile, many significant trends (93 time series) that cannot be effectively detected by LRA or M-K test can be identified using ITA. So ITA could detect hidden-trends that cannot be observed using traditional LRA and M-K test. The possible causes for decreasing trends at most stations in China were investigated by discussing the annual and seasonal variations of anthropogenic aerosol loadings and sunshine duration. Moreover, the differences, similarities and advantages of ITA, LRA and M-K test were compared and evaluated.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Renewable Energy - Volume 119, April 2018, Pages 675-689
نویسندگان
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