کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
6858826 1438411 2018 16 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Probabilistic inferences from conjoined to iterated conditionals
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
استنتاج های احتمالی از شرط های تکرار شده
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی کامپیوتر هوش مصنوعی
چکیده انگلیسی
There is wide support in logic, philosophy, and psychology for the hypothesis that the probability of the indicative conditional of natural language, P(ifAthenB), is the conditional probability of B given A, P(B|A). We identify a conditional which is such that P(ifAthenB)=P(B|A) with de Finetti's conditional event, B|A. An objection to making this identification in the past was that it appeared unclear how to form compounds and iterations of conditional events. In this paper, we illustrate how to overcome this objection with a probabilistic analysis, based on coherence, of these compounds and iterations. We interpret the compounds and iterations as conditional random quantities which, given some logical dependencies, may reduce to conditional events. We show how the inference to B|A from A and B can be extended to compounds and iterations of both conditional events and biconditional events. Moreover, we determine the respective uncertainty propagation rules. Finally, we make some comments on extending our analysis to counterfactuals.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: International Journal of Approximate Reasoning - Volume 93, February 2018, Pages 103-118
نویسندگان
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