کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
7351183 | 1476694 | 2018 | 9 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Estimating the future supply of shale oil: A Bakken case study
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موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
مهندسی انرژی
انرژی (عمومی)
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چکیده انگلیسی
We propose a new way to estimate the supply curve of remaining shale oil reserves in the U.S. Our method applies the principle of “successive sampling without replacement” to derive from historical drilling data maximum likelihood estimates of the number and productivity of remaining drilling sites. Unlike existing techniques, this approach identifies the portion of “technically recoverable” resources that can be developed economically at alternative price levels. For example, we estimate that 50% of remaining technically recoverable resources located in the Bakken play-roughly 8 billion barrels-could be developed economically if the oil price remains near $50/barrel. (L71, Q35, Q41).
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Energy Economics - Volume 69, January 2018, Pages 395-403
Journal: Energy Economics - Volume 69, January 2018, Pages 395-403
نویسندگان
James L. Smith,