کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
7399792 1481268 2016 11 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Do OPEC announcements influence oil prices?
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
آیا اعلامیه های اوپک به قیمت نفت تاثیر می گذارد؟
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی انرژی مهندسی انرژی و فناوری های برق
چکیده انگلیسی
This paper investigates the effect of OPEC production decisions (increase, cut, maintain) on both WTI and Brent crude oil prices between Q1 1991 and Q1 2015 by employing the event study methodology and by using two indices as benchmarks (BCI and S&P GSCI). We employ an EGARCH model to take into account the high volatility of oil prices and some stylized facts characterizing this volatility. We find that the impact of OPEC's announcements on oil prices (i)evolves over time and among decisions, (ii) is more significant for production cut and maintain, (iii) is different for WTI and Brent prices, and (iv) is sensitive to the benchmark index. Moreover, OPEC's decisions depend on the exploration and extraction cost of more expensive/unconventional oil resources.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Energy Policy - Volume 90, March 2016, Pages 262-272
نویسندگان
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