The implication for climate change and peak fossil fuel of the continuation of the current trend in wind and solar energy production

► Converging studies show the peak fossil fuel risk likely to be critical by 2020. ► We model the future growth rate of wind and solar energy based on analogous precedents. ► These are the growth rates already achieved by the world mobile phone system and the Chinese National Expressway Network. ► We show that wind and solar energy growth at these rates averts the peak fossil fuel risk. ► For global warming, the scenarios make fossil-fuel CO2 emissions zero by 2030.