کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
806980 | 905440 | 2010 | 5 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
On the validation of risk analysis—A commentary
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موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
سایر رشته های مهندسی
مهندسی مکانیک
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
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چکیده انگلیسی
Aven and Heide (2009) [1] provided interesting views on the reliability and validation of risk analysis. The four validation criteria presented are contrasted with modelling features related to the relative frequency—based and Bayesian approaches to risk analysis. In this commentary I would like to bring forth some issues on validation that partly confirm and partly suggest changes in the interpretation of the introduced validation criteria—especially, in the context of low probability–high consequence systems. The mental model of an expert in assessing probabilities is argued to be a key notion in understanding the validation of a risk analysis.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Reliability Engineering & System Safety - Volume 95, Issue 11, November 2010, Pages 1261–1265
Journal: Reliability Engineering & System Safety - Volume 95, Issue 11, November 2010, Pages 1261–1265
نویسندگان
Tony Rosqvist,