کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
808512 1468272 2006 7 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Comments on generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه سایر رشته های مهندسی مهندسی مکانیک
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Comments on generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation
چکیده انگلیسی

The paper presents an application of the generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation methodology to the problem of estimating the uncertainty of predictions produced by environmental models. The methodology is placed in a wider context of different approaches to inverse modelling and, in particular, a comparison is made with Bayesian estimation techniques based on explicit structural assumptions about model error. Using a simple example of a rainfall-flow model, different evaluation measures and their influence on the prediction uncertainty and credibility intervals are demonstrated.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Reliability Engineering & System Safety - Volume 91, Issues 10–11, October–November 2006, Pages 1315–1321
نویسندگان
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