The Research and Development of Prediction and Simulation System for Safety Production

In order to macro-forecast the conditions of the occupational safety all over China, this paper selects some appropriate indicators of social and economic development and statistical indicators of the occupational safety. Besides, the internal relations between the occupational safety and the social and economic development are analyzed through the data in the past 20 years, and a prediction model is obtained by using gray theory and multiple weighted mean methods. Then the occupational safety of China over the next five years is forecasted. Compared with the truthful data, it is concluded that this model has a high precision. Based on the model, the prediction and simulation system of the occupational safety is developed.