کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
864040 | 1470816 | 2011 | 14 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Application of S-shaped curves
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موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
سایر رشته های مهندسی
مهندسی (عمومی)
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چکیده انگلیسی
This paper deals with the application of S-shaped curves in the contexts of inventive problem solving, innovation and technology forecasts. After explaining the origin of the logistic S-curve its application, as seen in publications from different domains, is reviewed. Despite much criticism and the failure to apply the logistic function for long-term forecasting, it continues to be a popular model for describing the evolution of systems (technological, economical, social and others) over time. This paper can help researchers and practitioners to understand the scope of application of S-shaped patterns, their limitations, and peculiarities.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Procedia Engineering - Volume 9, 2011, Pages 559-572
Journal: Procedia Engineering - Volume 9, 2011, Pages 559-572