کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
883734 912347 2012 20 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Pre-election polls as strategic coordination devices
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Pre-election polls as strategic coordination devices
چکیده انگلیسی

In the unique attainable equilibrium of a voting model with one minority candidate and two similarly appealing majority candidates, majority voters are unable to coordinate their support and the minority candidate (Condorcet loser) is elected. Suppose a random sample of voters is asked about their preferences prior to the election. We show that there always exists an equilibrium of this two stage game in which all poll participants are truthful, resulting in a high likelihood of a majority candidate winning the election. This equilibrium is unique if the sample size of the poll is Poisson distributed or fixed and odd.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization - Volume 84, Issue 2, November 2012, Pages 681–700
نویسندگان
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