کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
896853 | 914864 | 2011 | 16 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
![عکس صفحه اول مقاله: Backcasting images of the future city—Time and space for sustainable development in Stockholm Backcasting images of the future city—Time and space for sustainable development in Stockholm](/preview/png/896853.png)
This paper presents and discusses a backcasting study for Stockholm 2050. The focus is on developing images of a future where Stockholm citizens have sustainable energy use—here defined as a 60% reduction per capita over a 50-year period. The perspective is that of households, so all energy is allocated to individuals’ activities rather than being discussed from a sector perspective. Six images of the future are developed by combining a space dimension (three versions of changes in urban structure) and a time dimension (two versions of people's life tempo). Added to this is technological development, so that the images of the future illustrate how combinations of planning, behavioural change and technological development could lead to sustainable energy use.
Research Highlights
► We allocate all energy use in society to households’ activities.
► Six images of the future Stockholm 2050 are elaborated.
► All images illustrate potential ways of life with 60% lower energy use than 2000.
► The images are differentiated in time (work hours) and space (urban structure).
Journal: Technological Forecasting and Social Change - Volume 78, Issue 5, June 2011, Pages 819–834