کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
995102 936168 2010 12 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Long term prediction of unconventional oil production
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی انرژی مهندسی انرژی و فناوری های برق
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Long term prediction of unconventional oil production
چکیده انگلیسی

Although considerable discussion surrounds unconventional oil's ability to mitigate the effects of peaking conventional oil production, very few models of unconventional oil production exist. The aim of this article was to project unconventional oil production to determine how significant its production may be. Two models were developed to predict the unconventional oil production, one model for in situ production and the other for mining the resources. Unconventional oil production is anticipated to reach between 18 and 32 Gb/y (49–88 Mb/d) in 2076–2084, before declining. If conventional oil production is at peak production then projected unconventional oil production cannot mitigate peaking of conventional oil alone.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Energy Policy - Volume 38, Issue 1, January 2010, Pages 265–276
نویسندگان
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