کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
995125 936168 2010 8 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Estimating coal production peak and trends of coal imports in China
کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی انرژی مهندسی انرژی و فناوری های برق
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Estimating coal production peak and trends of coal imports in China
چکیده انگلیسی

More than 20 countries in the world have already reached a maximum capacity in their coal production (peak coal production) such as Japan, the United Kingdom and Germany. China, home to the third largest coal reserves in the world, is the world's largest coal producer and consumer, making it part of the Big Six. At present, however, China's coal production has not yet reached its peak. In this article, logistic curves and gaussian curves are used to predict China's coal peak and the results show that it will be between the late 2020s and the early 2030s. Based on the predictions of coal production and consumption, China's net coal import could be estimated for coming years. This article also analyzes the impact of China's net coal import on the international coal market, especially the Asian market, and on China's economic development and energy security.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Energy Policy - Volume 38, Issue 1, January 2010, Pages 512–519
نویسندگان
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