کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
997814 | 1481468 | 2008 | 10 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Empirical evidence on individual, group and shrinkage seasonal indices
دانلود مقاله + سفارش ترجمه
دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی
رایگان برای ایرانیان
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
مدیریت، کسب و کار و حسابداری
کسب و کار و مدیریت بین المللی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
![عکس صفحه اول مقاله: Empirical evidence on individual, group and shrinkage seasonal indices Empirical evidence on individual, group and shrinkage seasonal indices](/preview/png/997814.png)
چکیده انگلیسی
This paper provides empirical evidence on forecasting seasonal demand using both individual and group seasonal indices methods. The findings show that the group seasonal indices methods outperform the individual seasonal indices method. This paper also offers empirical results from comparing two shrinkage methods with the group seasonal indices methods. The theoretical rules developed by the authors for choosing between group seasonal indices and individual seasonal indices produce more accurate forecasts than do published rules for choosing between shrinkage methods, when measured by the MSE, and are competitive when measured by the symmetric MAPE.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting - Volume 24, Issue 3, July–September 2008, Pages 525–534
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting - Volume 24, Issue 3, July–September 2008, Pages 525–534
نویسندگان
Huijing Chen, John E. Boylan,