کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
998385 | 1481458 | 2011 | 17 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
The predictive validity of peer review: A selective review of the judgmental forecasting qualities of peers, and implications for innovation in science
دانلود مقاله + سفارش ترجمه
دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی
رایگان برای ایرانیان
کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
مدیریت، کسب و کار و حسابداری
کسب و کار و مدیریت بین المللی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
![عکس صفحه اول مقاله: The predictive validity of peer review: A selective review of the judgmental forecasting qualities of peers, and implications for innovation in science The predictive validity of peer review: A selective review of the judgmental forecasting qualities of peers, and implications for innovation in science](/preview/png/998385.png)
چکیده انگلیسی
In this review we investigate what the available data on the predictive validity of peer review can add to our understanding of judgmental forecasting. We found that peer review attests to the relative success of judgmental forecasting by experts. Both manuscript and group-based peer review allow, on average, for accurate decisions to be made. However, tension exists between peer review and innovative ideas, even though the latter underlie scientific advance. This points to the danger of biases and preconceptions in judgments. We therefore formulate two proposals for enhancing the likelihood of innovative work.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting - Volume 27, Issue 1, January–March 2011, Pages 166–182
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting - Volume 27, Issue 1, January–March 2011, Pages 166–182
نویسندگان
Wim G.G. Benda, Tim C.E. Engels,