EU low carbon roadmap 2050: Potentials and costs for mitigation of non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions

This paper describes the development of emission scenarios for non-CO2 greenhouse gases in the European Union as consistent with the energy scenarios used for the EU Low carbon Roadmap 2050. The analysis includes estimates of technical mitigation potentials and costs for mitigation of these gases until 2050 in the 27 EU member states. Results show that it would be technically possible to cut overall emissions of non-CO2 greenhouse gases by about half between base year 2005 and 2050 in both of the energy scenarios defined. The adoption of mitigation efforts already in the baseline will, however, significantly depend on the expected development in the carbon price levels in the EU-ETS and non-ETS sectors.

► Baseline non-CO2 GHG emissions decline by 26–44 percent between 2005 and 2050.
► Technically feasible to cut emissions by about half between 2005 and 2050.
► Mitigation adoption in baseline is primarily driven by carbon price levels.