کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
10401325 | 891193 | 2011 | 9 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A probabilistic model for assessing the long-term economics of wind energy
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موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
مهندسی انرژی
مهندسی انرژی و فناوری های برق
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
چکیده انگلیسی
Understanding the long-term economic impact of wind energy on electricity markets is becoming more important due to the increasing penetration of wind power in the generation mix of power systems. In this paper, we evaluate the economics of wind energy by developing a probabilistic model to compute the long-term probability distribution of market clearing prices and wind farm revenues. The power system is assumed to consist of conventional generating units and wind farms. Availabilities of the generating units and the uncertainty in the wind power output are implicitly accounted for. The effect of increasing wind power penetration on the probability distribution functions of the market price and wind farm revenues is evaluated by changing the rated capacity of the wind farm. The model is illustrated by using a power system with a 32-unit and wind farms. The superiority of the proposed probabilistic model over a deterministic one is confirmed.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Electric Power Systems Research - Volume 81, Issue 4, April 2011, Pages 853-861
Journal: Electric Power Systems Research - Volume 81, Issue 4, April 2011, Pages 853-861
نویسندگان
Jorge Valenzuela, Jianhui Wang,