Goodness-of-fit measures for individual-level models of infectious disease in a Bayesian framework

► Use posterior predictive model checks to assess goodness-of-fit in Bayesian framework. ► Statistics based on temporal and spatio-temporal information. ► Spatio-temporal statistics depend on user-defined parameters. ► Spatio-temporal statistics are poor at detecting model misspecification. ► Statistics based on temporal information are best at assessing goodness-of-fit.