کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
1051787 1484958 2014 7 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
The house size effect and the referendum paradox in U.S. presidential elections
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
اثر اندازه خانه و پارادوکس رفراندوم در انتخابات ریاست جمهوری ایالات متحده
کلمات کلیدی
انتخابات ریاست جمهوری ایالات متحده؛ کالج انتخاباتی؛ اثر اندازه خانه؛ پارادوکس رفراندوم
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی علوم اجتماعی جغرافیا، برنامه ریزی و توسعه
چکیده انگلیسی


• Some U.S. presidential elections are subject to a ‘House size effect’.
• This relates to the number of Senate vs. House electoral votes won by each candidate.
• The relationship is complicated by the workings of apportionment methods.
• Such an election exhibits the referendum paradox for some House sizes but not others.

Barthélémy et al. (2014), extending the work of Neubauer and Zeitlin (2003), show that some U.S. presidential elections are subject to a ‘House size effect’ in that the winner of the election, i.e., the candidate who wins a majority of electoral votes, depends on the size of the House of Representatives. The conditions for the effect relate to the number of ‘Senate’ versus ‘House’ electoral votes won by each candidate, but the relationship is not straightforward due to ‘locally chaotic’ effects in the apportionment of House seats among the states as House size changes. Clearly a Presidential election that is subject to the House size effect exhibits the referendum paradox, i.e., the electoral vote winner is the popular vote loser, for some House sizes but not for others.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Electoral Studies - Volume 35, September 2014, Pages 265–271
نویسندگان
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