Projections of energy services demand for residential buildings: Insights from a bottom-up methodology

▸ Future energy projections supported on energy services instead of final energy. ▸ Bottom-up methodology to compute energy services demand for residential buildings. ▸ Results assessed for Portugal for 2050, as proxy for southwestern European countries. ▸ Heating and electric equipments parameters show a higher range of uncertainty. ▸ Technology can overweight behavioral practices and lifestyle changes for some end-uses.