Detection of small radar cross-section orbital debris with the Haystack radar

NASA has been making statistical measurements of the orbital debris environment for more than a decade using the MIT Lincoln Laboratory Haystack radar. The goal has been to characterize the environment for debris sizes as small as possible. Like all sensors which operate in the presence of noise, the Haystack radar has limited sensitivity. As the returned energy from small targets begins to approach the sensitivity limit of the radar, the probability-of-detection decreases, eventually approaching zero. The slope of the cumulative size distribution of debris begins to flatten out. This paper explores the possibility of extending the cumulative size distribution to smaller sizes by adjusting the distribution for probability-of-detection.