Community coverage and HIV prevention: Assessing metrics for estimating HIV incidence through syringe exchange

A modest investment in the collection of programme data can yield reliable and interpretable information on the extent of programme reach and retention. Limitations to the approach result from the ecological nature of the data and from the need to use data from outside the programme that may be less reliable. For the cases presented here, coverage rates will vary as a function of the programme policies; however, even modest coverage rates - well below those recommended by UNAIDS - can have significant impacts on HIV epidemics. Restrictive policies appeared to increase the coverage if measured only by the proportion of monthly participants and not by the proportion of syringe need met by a programme. More generally, programmes can collect programmatic data and some rapid assessment data (estimates of IDU population and injection frequency) to estimate of the impact of their programmes.